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Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Nuggets Best Move in 2013 NBA Draft: TRADE OUT OF IT!!!

The Denver Nuggets still need to land a head coach after landing an assistant to Josh Kroenke, AKA The KSE Dictator, in Tim Connelly but hiring that coach means little for next week's NBA Draft.  That is unless the Nuggets stepped up and got Doc Rivers or kissed each ring on all 10 fingers on Phil Jackson's hands and wherever he may keep the 11th (let's hope it's not a Prince Albert location).  We know that's not happening, so what Connelly's hiring means is we have a guy around for the NBA Draft to help assist Kroenke and to help take some of the weight off his shoulders which is pretty immense considering he has less hands than cookie jars he has been putting them in.

So onto the lecture at hand (yes, I went Snoop Dogg or Snoop Lion or Snoop Doggy Dogg):

The Nuggets best move is to exit out of the NBA Draft.  The main reason is this draft is average at best with next year's draft looking to be amongst the best we've seen for talent in the first round.  Heck, next year we could see 6 or 7 Kentucky Wildcats go in the first round and they may all be better than Nerlens Noel.  Next, the Nuggets have depth and plenty of young talent that needs playing minutes.  Unless it's a guy that can fix some of their woes in his rookie campaign, it's not worth adding another guy to ride the bench when the Nuggets could trade this year's pick for a 1st rounder next year.  Two first round picks and a player on the Nuggets roster next year could get them a top lottery pick in 2014.  The Nuggets have talent, they will have a new head coach and let's be honest, they need immediate impact players to bring in from free agency and for their current group to step up.  No one at Pick 27 appears to be more than a back-up on this roster and one that has no impact at that.  What the Nuggets need to do draft night and in free agency are these things:

  • Trade Pick 27 to the Raptors, Grizzlies, Heat, Warriors, Lakers or Rockets.  All of them are out of the 1st Round in this draft and all need to add some talent.  The Heat are without any young players and if the Big 3 are to return another season, they need a young guy to fill-in for one of the most average benches in Finals History.  To be honest, the Raptors may make the most sense because they probably will have the highest pick in 2014 and a GM that is an old friend.  Masai Ujiri is buddies with Josh and maybe Josh can convince him he really needs to add someone at the cost of a higher pick in Round 1 next year.  Additionally, Masai built this team and he may want to trade for a player or two for a big contract and that pick, do it.
  • So that brings me to what is next, if a lottery team likes more than one player to give them 2 in this draft, sell immediately.  Same trade scenarios of a player and pick for heavy contract and next year's pick comes into play.
  • Now that the Nuggets have traded away their draft, start calling 2nd round fringe players.  The first call should have already gone to one up the road in Andre Roberson.  The Nuggets most likely will lose their best defender in Andre Iguodala to a team that will pay him more.  Roberson's offense is not great and his foul shooting is much the same (to me that sounds like AI2.0 right there). 
  • Next, make calls to these free agents representatives in order:
    1. Kyle Korver-Korver fits an immediate need for a 3-point shooter.  He also fits in at SF where the Nuggets have Wilson Chandler and an injured Danilo Galinari.  Chandler was atrocious during the Nuggets past two post-seasons and they need someone to push him.  Who knows how healthy Gallo is?
    2. Martell Webster-Who?  That's right and that's how the Nuggets make-up is around the league, so keep it that way.  Webster is as deadly as Korver is from downtown and fills a hole at SG.  Put him with Fournier and you have 2 solid SGs.
    3. Will Bynum or Darren Collison-Either one works.  Both are solid back-up PG that give the Nuggets a younger player.  Andre Miller is too old.  You can take away his home in Denver.  He's just too old.
    4. Carl Landry or Paul Millsap-The Nuggets are thin behind Faried at PF.  They played a lot of smaller line-ups when he rested or went with Gallo there.  Milsap and Landry are both undersized, hard-working PFs that bring some energy and toughness.  Sounds a lot like the guy they have and it works well.
There you have it.  The Nuggets 2013-2014 team is in place and they are bound for an early exit in the playoffs in 2014.  The difference is they can add an impact player in the draft in 2014 and do it by giving up very little in the 2013 draft.  The Nuggets need to see what they have in their deep bench of players and see who is meant to get more minutes.  The next Nuggets coach most likely won't win 57 games next year, but George Karl would have barely got to 50 himself and has shown his system does not breed playoff success.  The Nuggets will have a full year under their belt with a new system come the 2014-2015 season and the personnel, coach and impact player from the 2014 Draft to finally make a run in the playoffs.  Their roster could look like this next season:

Nuggets 2013-2014 Potential Roster w/ Depth Chart

PG-Ty Lawson, Will Bynum or Darren Collison, Julyan Stone
SG-Evan Fournier, Martell Webster, (Korver)
SF-Wilson Chandler or Kyle Korver, Jordan Hamilton, Quincy Miller
PF-Faried, Millsap or Landry, Anthony Randolph
C-McGee, Koufos, (Randolph)

 Yes the above roster is not glamorous but it's built around getting the most out of solid players that bring something to the table that aren't household names. The way to get big names is to win in the playoffs and have an impact player to build around.  Parker and Ginobli were just guys until they won with San Antonio.  If they were super stars from the day they were drafted, they wouldn't have ended up as part of the Spurs dynasty.  They got their with a Tim Duncan.  The Spurs got lucky that year to get Duncan.

The Nuggets can not land a big name free agent the way the NBA is set up.  They could probably throw a ton of money at a Dwight Howard or Chris Paul and they would just be ignored.  The simple fact is that even though Denver grows in skyscrapers and population and nightlife for all ages, ethnicities and types of people; it does not bring the cameras, worldwide marketing ability and attention that Los Angeles, Miami and New York bring to those that have left being the main guy in smaller markets like Carmelo Anthony, Chris Paul, Dwight Howard, LeBron James and Chris Bosh amongst current players and many before and since then.  Hopefully in the 2014 Draft that player can be landed and have a career like Duncan where he makes his teammates better and sticks around in a smaller market city because he finds a home and championships in Denver.

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